MARKET OVERVIEW
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
CAUTIONMIXED DATALOW CONFIDENCESTRUCTURE / NEUTRAL LENS
Resolution rule: This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 202...
WATCH: Thin liquidity or a wide spread can make the displayed price hard to execute at size.
POLITICS · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 2m AGO
RECOMMENDED LENSSTRUCTURE / NEUTRALLOW CONFIDENCE
Linked contracts and structural constraints matter more here than a single isolated quote.
CORE VERDICTS
YES
0.8%
EDGE
LOW
CONFIDENCE
LOW
LIQUIDITY
THIN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If liquidity stays thin, the displayed spread can look better than the actual executable opportunity.
MULTIEvent Ladder
LOADING FAMILY WORKSPACE...
LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
MIXED
Confidence LOW. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality MIXED.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
MIXED
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
THIN
Execution posture is derived from visible depth, spread, and venue routing.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
MODELED
NOW 1cHORIZON 48H
48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICE1c
LIQUIDITYTHIN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHRECENT
AS OF07:20 UTC
COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
BELOW 1C
8%
1C - 1C
18%
1C - 1C
28%
1C - 12C
30%
12C - 24C
12%
ABOVE 24C
4%
ALERT HOOKS
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE low
CONTEXT
GENERIC
Official government action and filing path
FOCUS
Official government action and filing path
WATCH
2 ITEMS
SOURCES
2
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
WATCH
Latest official action from the relevant institution
Any filing or vote that changes the resolution path
SOURCES
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
VENUEPOLY
MOVE—
RANGE—
FRESHUNKNOWN
PRICEUNKNOWN
LOADING CHART...
HISTORY BUILDING
Candle history has not accumulated yet.
Use the current quote, spread, and depth while the chart archive catches up.
YES
0.8%
SPREAD
—
VOL 24H
$245
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
RECENT 2M
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS