MARKET OVERVIEW

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

VENUE INTEGRITY WARNING5 polymarket contracts — showing best representative

CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCESTRUCTURE / NEUTRAL LENS

Resolution rule: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.

TECH · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 6m AGO

RECOMMENDED LENSSTRUCTURE / NEUTRALINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE

Linked contracts and structural constraints matter more here than a single isolated quote.

CORE VERDICTS

YES

1.5%

EDGE

INSUFFICIENT

CONFIDENCE

INSUFFICIENT

LIQUIDITY

THIN

RISK

WATCH

COMPARE SAFE

NOT_SAFE — single venue

WHY NOW

No acute driver detected.

INVALIDATION

If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.

MULTIEvent Ladder

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LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO

MARKET SUMMARY

TRUST

WEAK

Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.

CALIBRATION

UNKNOWN

QUALITY

WEAK

REGIME

NORMAL

EXECUTION

THIN

Best buy route is POLYMARKET. Best sell route is POLYMARKET. Visible depth is $23. Tightest spread is 0.1¢.

BEST BUY

POLYMARKET · 0.1¢

BEST SELL

POLYMARKET · 0.1¢

VISIBLE DEPTH

$23

BRACKET DISTRIBUTION

MODELED

NOW 1cHORIZON 48H

48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.

BRACKET INPUTS

PRICE1c

LIQUIDITYTHIN

VOLINFERRED

MOMENTUMUNKNOWN

CATALYSTUNKNOWN

WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN

PROVENANCE

FRESHRECENT

AS OF07:15 UTC

COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE

OWNERUNKNOWN

BELOW 1C

1C - 1C

18%

1C - 1C

28%

1C - 13C

30%

13C - 24C

12%

ABOVE 24C

ALERT HOOKS

SHADOW MISMATCH DTO

SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS

CHANGE

NEXT CATALYST

—

CATALYST ETA

—

TOP DRIVER

CONFIDENCE insufficient

CONTEXT

No category context available.

FOCUS

—

WATCH

0 ITEMS

SOURCES

ACCESS

FULL DETAIL

COMPARISON

NOT_SAFE

Compare-safe state is not_safe.

COMPARE SAFE

NOT_SAFE

CONTRACT DIFF

NONE

COHERENCE

UNKNOWN

OTHER CONTRACTS

WATCH-ONLY

CHART

VENUEPOLY

MOVE—

RANGE—

FRESHUNKNOWN

PRICEUNKNOWN

LINKED CONTRACT LINES (5) · POLYMARKET

Click a contract row to focus it here. Use POLY to open the native venue.

POLY

LOADING CHART...

HISTORY BUILDING

Candle history has not accumulated yet.

Use the current quote, spread, and depth while the chart archive catches up.

YES

1.5%

SPREAD

0.1¢

VOL 24H

—

TRUTH / WATCH RAIL

LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS

RECENT 6M

Coverage intact

EXECUTION TICKET

LOADING DEPTH...

EXECUTION TICKET

SUPPORT / EVIDENCE

THESIS

WHY NOW

No acute driver detected.

WATCH

If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.

RULES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use

RULE HISTORY

CONTEXT

No external context available for this market category.

EVIDENCE

MARKET SUMMARY

END DATE

7mo 6d

TOTAL VOL 24H

—

TOTAL DEPTH

$23

MARKET AGE

1 MONTH

PROVENANCE

INTEGRITYSingle selected venue — no cross-venue confirmation.

QUOTES

RECENT · 2026-05-28 07:15 UTC

DERIVED

STALE · 2026-05-27 17:27 UTC

RULES

LIVE · 2026-05-28 07:15 UTC

CONTEXT

MISSING · No timestamp available

AS OF

2026-05-28 07:15 UTC

COMPARISON DIGEST

No comparison summary available.

MISMATCH 1

single venue

SUPPORT / EVIDENCE

VISUAL ANALYTICS

MARKET PULSE

POLY · SINGLE VENUE

WEAK DATASINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEAS OF 07:15 UTC

IMPLIED YES

1.5%

SPREAD 0.1¢

VOL 24H $0

0¢50¢100¢

SPREAD

0.1¢

DEPTH

$23

FRESH

SELECTED VENUE IMPACT

PRICE IMPACT VS NOTIONAL

100·0.4%·F12

1K·0.4%·F1

10K·0.4%·F0

LIQUIDITY PROFILE

FILL 1%

POLY BOOK

$23 · ASK HEAVY

SPREAD

0.1¢

BALANCE

4 / 96

FILL

SLIPPAGE

BUY / SELL

BUY SLIPPAGE

0.39%

SELL SLIPPAGE

0.40%

SPREAD·0.1¢

FILL CONFIDENCE·1%

BUY SLIPPAGE·0.39%

SELL SLIPPAGE·0.40%

VISUAL ANALYTICS

OWNERSHIP · FLOW · RELATIONS

OWNERSHIP WORKSPACE

VISUAL ANALYTICS