←Back to markets←Open markets←Open selected market
EVENT SHELL
other

Will Jason Kelce be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?

If Jason Kelce served as Groomsman at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

OUTCOMES
6
VENUES
6
VOL 24H
$10
OPEN INT
$20.2K
FRESHNESS
RECENT
297S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
Will Jason Kelce be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?89%Will Aric Jones be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?61%Will Austin Swift be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?86%Will Harrison Butker be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?3%Will Kumar Ferguson be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?52%Will Patrick Mahomes be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?79%
REGIMEthin book (3/6)normal (3/6)
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW

Will Jason Kelce be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?

·
CAUTIONMIXED DATALOW CONFIDENCE

Resolution rule: If Jason Kelce served as Groomsman at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

WATCH: Thin liquidity or a wide spread can make the displayed price hard to execute at size.

OTHER · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 3s AGO
CORE VERDICTS
YES
89.0%
EDGE
LOW
CONFIDENCE
LOW
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If liquidity stays thin, the displayed spread can look better than the actual executable opportunity.
LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
MIXED
Confidence LOW. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality MIXED.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
MIXED
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Tightest spread is 8.0¢.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
MODELED
NOW 89cHORIZON 48H
48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICE89c
LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHRECENT
AS OF08:06 UTC
COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
BELOW 78C
8%
78C - 84C
18%
84C - 89C
28%
89C - 95C
30%
95C - 99C
12%
ABOVE 99C
4%
ALERT HOOKS
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE low
CONTEXT
No category context available.
FOCUS
—
WATCH
0 ITEMS
SOURCES
0
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
1
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
OUTCOME HISTORY
Will Jason Kelce be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?
Selected contract against sibling outcomes in this window
6 tracks
OUTCOME VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
RECENT 5M
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment