EVENT SHELL
macro

GDP growth in 2029?

If GDP growth in 2029 is above 6.1, then the market resolves to Yes.

OUTCOMES
2
VENUES
14
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$7.6K
FRESHNESS
STALE
9329698S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
GDP growth in 2029?8%GDP growth in 2029?8%
REGIMEnormal (2/2)
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW

GDP growth in 2029?

VENUE INTEGRITY WARNING13 kalshi contracts — showing best representative
·
CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE

Resolution rule: If GDP growth in 2029 is above 6.1, then the market resolves to Yes.

WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.

MACRO · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 2592h AGO
CORE VERDICTS
YES
16.5%
EDGE
INSUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE
INSUFFICIENT
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — sin████ ████ █
WHY NOW
No ████ ███████ ██████ █████
INVALIDATION
If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.
LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Tightest spread is 1.0¢.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE ins████ █████
CONTEXT
TARGETED
BEA GDP estimate path
FOCUS
BEA GDP estimate path
WATCH
3 ITEMS
SOURCES
3
ACCESS
PUBLIC SUMMARY
WATCH
Advance, second, and final GDP estimate sequence
Consumption, inflation, and inventory contributions
Revisions versus the prior estimate
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
CHART
OUTCOME HISTORY
GDP growth in 2029?
Selected contract against sibling outcomes in this window
2 tracks
OUTCOME VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
STALE 2592H
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
RESOLUTION INTELLIGENCE
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